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Rational Adversaries and the Maintenance of Fragility: A Game-Theoretic Theory of Rational Stagnation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cooperative systems often remain in persistently suboptimal yet stable states. This paper explains such "rational stagnation" as an equilibrium sustained by a rational adversary whose utility follows the principle of potential loss, $u_{D} = U_{ideal} - U_{actual}$. Starting from the Prisoner's Dilemma, we show that the transformation $u_{i}' = a\,u_{i} + b\,u_{j}$ and the ratio of mutual recognition $w = b/a$ generate a fragile cooperation band $[w_{\min},\,w_{\max}]$ where both (C,C) and (D,D) are equilibria. Extending to a dynamic model with stochastic cooperative payoffs $R_{t}$ and intervention costs $(C_{c},\,C_{m})$, a Bellman-style analysis yields three strategic regimes: immediate destruction, rational stagnation, and intervention abandonment. The appendix further generalizes the utility to a reference-dependent nonlinear form and proves its stability under reference shifts, ensuring robustness of the framework. Applications to social-media algorithms and political trust illustrate how adversarial rationality can deliberately preserve fragility.


Artificial Finance: How AI Thinks About Money

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we explore how large language models (LLMs) approach financial decision - making by systematically comparing their responses to those of human participants across the globe. We posed a set of commonly used financial decision - making questions t o seven leading LLMs, including five models from the GPT series (GPT - 4o, GPT - 4.5, o1, o3 - mini), Gemini 2.0 Flash, and DeepSeek R1 . We then compared their outputs to human responses drawn from a dataset covering 53 nations. Our analysis reveals three main r esults. First, LLMs generally exhibit a risk - neutral decision - making pattern, favoring choices aligned with expected value calculations when faced with lottery - type questions . Second, when evaluating trade - offs between present and future, LLMs occasionally produce responses that appear inconsistent with normative reasoning . Third, when we examine cross - national similarities, we f ind that the LLMs' aggregate responses most closely resemble those of participants from Tanzania. These findings contribute to the understanding of how LLMs emulate human - like decision behaviors and highlight potential cultural and training influences embedded within their outputs.


Deep Learning Drives Global Financial Institution 'to Gain Every Little Cent'

#artificialintelligence

It may be true data scientists occupy "the sexiest job of the century," but it's also true they're under tremendous pressure to deliver on their rarefied skills, knowledge and pay. We recently spoke (under condition of anonymity) with a data scientist at a North American financial institution, a resource-rich company implementing AI at enterprise scale, and his comments show how Wall Street firms view machine learning as a critical strategic weapon to drive profits and efficiencies. "There's a massive drive at all financial institutions, especially here, to drive efficiencies, for us to gain every little cent across the board," he told us. "…It's part of our internal KPIs (key performance indicators), to find implementable opportunities for efficiency gains in terms of how we perform. This is part of the master goal of the organization."


Deep Learning Drives Global Financial Institution 'to Gain Every Little Cent'

#artificialintelligence

It may be true data scientists occupy "the sexiest job of the century," but it's also true they're under tremendous pressure to deliver on their rarefied skills, knowledge and pay. We recently spoke (under condition of anonymity) with a data scientist at a North American financial institution, a resource-rich company implementing AI at enterprise scale, and his comments show how Wall Street firms view machine learning as a critical strategic weapon to drive profits and efficiencies. "There's a massive drive at all financial institutions, especially here, to drive efficiencies, for us to gain every little cent across the board," he told us. "…It's part of our internal KPIs (key performance indicators), to find implementable opportunities for efficiency gains in terms of how we perform. This is part of the master goal of the organization."